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12th May, 2006 Since earlywarning launched twenty months ago, we have predicted that Iraq would spin into a vortex or black hole of: - ever-increasing sectarian violence between Shias and Sunnis
- steadily mounting casualties among coalition forces
- economic depression and lack of basic amenities such as electricity, water and petrol
- potential dismemberment of the country as Kurdish parties pursue the goal of an independent state and Shias in the South and Baghdad consolidate their hold leaving the barren west and centre to the Sunnis
- intervention by outside powers, on the model of the Spanish Civil War -? Iran on behalf of the Shias, Jordan, Saudi Arabia and Syria for the Sunnis, and Turkey for the Turkmen and against Kurdish separatists
- resurgence of the power of Islamic fundamentalist Iran after the toppling of its biggest opponent, Saddam Hussein’s secular regime
Defence It gives us no pleasure to say that all these things have happened or ... |
